National Grid provide the background to the energy challenge


Speaking at the Worldwise Investor launch event last week, John Dawson, Head of Investor Relations at the National grid explained what the transition to a low carbon economy will mean for the production and consumption of electricity in this country. These dramatic changes have important implications for investment opportunities which many investment funds are taking note of.
We will face an important set of trade-offs between emissions, cost, and security of supply. As 25% of our existing power stations are scheduled to close before 2020, we will need new ways to make sure we have enough energy to “keep the lights on”. Dawson’s talk from the National Grid “Gone Green” scenario shows the transformation of electricity from 2010 to 2050.



An important part of the move to a low carbon system is that there will be an increasing role for renewables. Some critics of renewable energy rely on the argument that the costs are too high, but as with any kind of technology, it is likely that a “learning curve” will take effect, production will come more efficient and unit costs will fall. A much more pressing problem is that the nature of electricity production differs greatly from more traditional forms, wind and solar energy is greatly weather dependent, and as the amount of energy produced wildly fluctuates, we will need a system in place to ensure that we always have enough energy, and that we don't over produce at certain times.

Part of the solution to this will be interconnection, which means the transfer of electricity between countries, for example the import and export of wind power to and from Norway. Energy solutions need to include traditional fossil fuels which allow for planning such as gas, coal with Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), as well as nuclear power. The Electricity Market Reform White Paper published earlier this year sets out government plans to promote low carbon energy generation, it outlines measures such as a tax on carbon and an emissions standard for power generation, with the goal being to meet our energy targets such as an 80% carbon reduction by 2050.

These long term energy pressures will eventually have a marked effect on investment opportunities. To date Clean Energy funds have had poor performance, and the global industry has experienced setbacks, but in the much longer term prospects look promising. Mark Hoskin, Managing Partner at Independent Financial Advisers, Holden & Partners, said in his talk at the Worldwise Launch event: "Investors need to look beyond past performance statistics and look to the future, clean energy investment will at some point turn round”.

[Picture from National Grid]

Fund context:

There are investment funds dedicated to Clean Energy that invest both in the new technologies and in companies that focus on energy efficiency. There are also Multi-Thematic funds with Clean Energy as one of their themes that see Clean Energy as an area for long term growth, but invest in companies in a mixture of themes to diversify and hopefully minimise risk.

Funds also take different views on investing in nuclear power and natural gas. Some see natural gas as a key part of the medium term low-carbon future, such as Pictet Clean Energy who have BG Group as part of their top 10 holdings. Others consider natural gas a fossil fuel and as such refuse to invest in companies that produce it, such as Guinness Alternative Energy. There are similar differing opinions on nuclear energy, where Cheviot Climate Assets avoid it but Schroder Global Climate Change see room for growth in the sector and will hold nuclear energy companies.

Related funds:

Cheviot Climate Assets
Guinness Alternative Energy
Pictet Clean Energy
Schroder Global Climate Change

Useful links:

Mark Hoskin: What is the size of the UK energy challenge?

Worldwise Investor: Short-termism rules UK energy policy and investment
Worldwise Investor: Clean Energy theme
Worldwise Investor: Multi-Thematic
Worldwise Investor: Clean Energy's Time Will Come Again (Professional only)
Worldwise Investor: Prospects for Nuclear Energy Investment
Worldwise Investor: UK Energy Statistics Published
Worldwise Investor: Electricity Market Reform

National Grid: Homepage

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Louise Fallonall articles

Louise Fallon starting working for Worldwise Investor as an intern over the summer and has written a number of articles during that time.

Louise is studying for a degree in Mathematics and Economics BSc at London School of Economics and Political Science, and graduates next summer.


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